travelNAMIBIAThemenstarter33,1k Beiträge · seit 200602. Aug. 2022 ·
Einige Temperaturen der vergangenen Nacht: - Windhoek: -6° C - Okahandja: -9° C - Wilhelmstal: -11°C Helmeringhausen warm (+8° C ), dafür mit Regen.
Noordoewer gestern (Quelle: contributed/WhatsApp)
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... According to Namibia Meteorological Services, Tses, Bloedvlei, Fanara, Koes, Karasburg and Kairos, in the //Kharas region, recorded 10mm, 8mm, 5mm, 4mm, 1mm and 0,3mm of rain respectively by Tuesday morning. ... ... Besides the rain, Namibia Meteorological Services predicted cloudy and cold to mild conditions for the interior of the country, with minimum temperatures ranging between 1⁰C to 4⁰C in places such as Windhoek, Otjiwarongo, Grootfontein, Okakarara, Maltahöhe, Mariental and Tsumeb. ...
Namibia verzeichnete in der Nacht von Montag auf Dienstag sowie gestern am Tage wahrscheinlich die bisher kältesten Temperaturen dieses Winters. Der August meldete sich in Form von Temperaturen, die unter dem Gefrierpunkt lagen, und im Süden des Landes kam es zu Schneeregen. ...
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travelNAMIBIAThemenstarter33,1k Beiträge · seit 200611. Aug. 2022 ·
Dear weather-watchers,
As we are witnessing weather records breaking around the world in these days, we had a share of these ourselves..:
Swakopmund
• Swakopmunders will not easily forget the unrelenting east winds of June 2022, particularly Monday 27th of June, which was the dustiest east wind storm of the past 22 years (see bottom of page 6). This dust storm caused damage along the coast, with walls and fences blown over and some buildings unroofed.
• This dust storm was preceded by an unusual spell of ‘winter rain’ as a cold front struck the coast, leading to localised flooding in Swakopmund and Walvis Bay (see top of page 6).
• June also saw the longest streak of 11 days of uninterrupted east winds in Swakopmund since I began recording weather. This streak toppled the previous record of 9 days of continuous east wind in July of 2004.
• On the 29th of June I measured the strongest ever east wind gust of 66.1 kmh in Swakopmund since my measurements began.
• These powerful east winds made June 2022 the warmest, and by far the windiest June of the past 22 years, and the windiest month overall by far (see page 2).
Windhoek
• Windhoek broke the record of the coldest June of the past 22 years, jumping thereafter to one of the warmest July’s.
• Although Windhoek was unusually cloudy this winter, no rain made it to the ground.
ENSO News
The El Nino Southern Oscillation forecasts of Monday 8th of August still look promising for the coming rainy season in that a prediction of a moderate strength La Nina still remains in place (pages 3-5). However the La Nina peaks around November/December, which is rather early. After November/December the La Nina is predicted to weaken fairly rapidly. This could impact the second half of the rainy season and could cause the rains to drop off earlier than normal. It appears that the three year long spell of La Nina’s that we have benefited from could be coming to an end after this coming rainy season, and so I would advise the farmers to be cautious going forward.
In the next circular I will look at the Indian Ocean Dipole forecast as well.
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Another cold weekend is looming for Namibians as temperatures are set to drop significantly in the south from Thursday, spreading to other parts of the country over the weekend. Predictions by Afri Weather indicate that the minimum temperatures in Windhoek will drop to one degree Celsius on Friday and to zero on Saturday, while daytime temperatures will be just above 20 degrees. ...
... According to Namibia Meteorological Services’ predictions, the cold weather will come with partly cloudy conditions and even frost in low -lying areas. These predictions further indicate that the cold conditions will be most extreme in the South. ...
THE South’s cold weather, which set in on Thursday, is expected to persists on Friday, with the coldest conditions expected in the southern-most towns, such as Aus and Karasburg, which are expected to record minimum temperatures of 2⁰C. ...
Namibia can expect very little to no rain until at least November, but average to above average rainfall from the last part of November to February. Meanwhile, temperatures will be warm to hot over the central to northern parts from the last week of August, agricultural meteorologist Johan van den Berg said. ...
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travelNAMIBIAThemenstarter33,1k Beiträge · seit 200629. Aug. 2022 ·
Namibia can expect very little to no rain until at least November, but average to above average rainfall from the last part of November to February.
Ich glaube die Erongo hat da was missverstanden. Sie schreiben ja selber, dass der La-Nina-Effekt guten Regen bedeutet. Dieser ist anfangs stark und lässt dann nach. Demnach gibt es erst Regen und dann sinken die Chancen. Nicht umgekehrt. So hatte ich es ja auch vir Kurzem von Geophysiker Klaus-Peter Knupp hier gepostet. Kleine Regenzeit soll gut werden (also BIS Dezember), große Regenzeit dann aber womöglich nicht (AB Dezember).
Viele Grüße Chistian
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THIS week’s hot weather is predicted to continue in most parts of the country, but it will most likely come with a few thundershowers in some areas in the southern, central, eastern, coastal and, eventually, north-eastern parts of the country. ...
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travelNAMIBIAThemenstarter33,1k Beiträge · seit 200601. Sept. 2022 ·
In Windhoek war gestern zwar dicke Bewölkung aber kein Regen. In der Namib (u. a. bei Ababis) hat es aber örtlich ergiebigen Niederschlag gegeben. Heute in Windhoek bisher keine Wolke zu sehen.
Viele Grüße Christian
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travelNAMIBIAThemenstarter33,1k Beiträge · seit 200601. Sept. 2022 ·
Hier der Regenausblick für die gesamte SADC: "GOOD UPCOMING RAINFALL PROSPECTS FOR SADC INCLUDING NAMIBIA" "The areas that are likely to receive good rainfall throughout the rainfall season spanning October 2022 to March 2023 are central Mozambique, southern Malawi, northern half of Zimbabwe, most of Zambia, southern DRC, south-eastern half of Angola, bulk of Namibia, western half of Botswana, most of central and western parts of South Africa, and western parts of Lesotho." https://economist.com.na/73134/weather/good-upcoming-rainfall-prospects-for-sadc-including-namibia/
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travelNAMIBIAThemenstarter33,1k Beiträge · seit 200614. Sept. 2022 ·
Laut dem Geophysiker Klaus-Peter Knupp verschlechtern sich die Regenaussichten.
ENSO News
Yesterday’s (12th of September) El Nino Southern Oscillation forecasts (pages 6-8) show:
a. A weak La Nina is still in place at the moment, but rapidly disappearing from December onwards and heading into neutral territory and beyond by about May 2023. All by its own, this would translate into a wetter ‘small’ rainy season (Oct – Dec), but a normal-to-drier main rainy season (Jan – May). Note though that the ‘small’ rainy season is itself very unpredictable and can sometimes fail altogether (more below).
Today’s (13th of September) Indian Ocean Dipole forecast (page 9) shows:
b. That currently the IOD is strongly negative and recovering to neutral by February. So the IOD is not supportive of rain until at least February.
Added together, the negative IOD is likely to put a damper on the ‘small’ rainy season (which might fail as a result), while the dissipating La Nina puts a damper on the main rainy season, even though we are fortunately not quite moving into El Nino territory as yet. Overall my estimate would be an average to below-average 2022-2023 rainy season for Namibia.
Lets count ourselves fortunate tough that we have been spared a true El Nino now for three rainy seasons in a row (the last El Nino being 2018 -2019). An El Nino event releases enormous amounts of heat into the atmosphere and brought us both heat and drought in the 2018-2019 season. Given that the last three La Nina’s have given us relatively cool and wet summers, we need to both mentally and physically prepare for the next El Nino, when it decides to come. Climate change is likely to exacerbate the heat we must prepare for in this event.
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COLD arctic air is expected in the South on Sunday, which is predicted to spread to the central and eastern parts of the country by Monday and Tuesday – but this is only expected to come after Saturday’s hot to very hot conditions. ...
... With the rainy season around the corner, predictions indicate that the bulk of the SADC region is likely to receive good rainfall from October to March 2023. ...
... on Saturday as many northern towns are expected to record maximum temperatures ranging between 34°C and 37 °C, with the highest temperatures expected in the Oshana Region as well as in the north-eastern parts of the country. ... ... In the South, Aroab, Keetmanshoop and Karasburg, in the //Kharas Region, are expected to record minimum temperatures of 14°C ... ... Swakopmund, Walvis Bay, !Nami#nus and Henties Bay will likely record minimum temperatures of 8°C, 9°C, 11°C and 12°C ...
WHILE some regions had an extremely hot weekend, recording temperatures as high as 37°C, other regions received a few odd showers – prompting Namibians to, once again, unite on social media to express their gratitude and excitement for the long-awaited rain. ...
... According to Namibia Meteorological Services, the highest temperatures are expected in Ondangwa, in the Oshana Region, and in Opuwo, in the Kunene Region, as these towns will likely record minimum temperatures ranging between 22°C and 23°C, with maximum temperatures of 41°C on Thursday. ...
... most northern towns will likely record maximum temperatures ranging between 37°C and 41°C on Wednesday. The highest temperatures are once again expected in Ondangwa, in the Oshikoto Region, where a minimum temperature of 22°C is expected, with a maximum temperature of 41°C. ... ... the coast can expect a partly cloudy and cool to mild Wednesday. In this regard, minimum temperatures ranging between 10°C and 12°C and maximum temperatures ranging between 18°C and 20°C ...
... In the Centre, Windhoek can expect a minimum temperature of 18°C and a maximum temperature of 32°C. At the Coast, Swakopmund, Walvis Bay and !Nami#nus can expect minimum temperatures ranging between 12°C and 14°C, with maximum temperatures ranging between 19°C and 24°C. The North-east, which is not expected to receive rain this weekend, will likely see some of the highest temperatures on Saturday. In this regard, Rundu, in the Kavango East Region, and Katima Mulilo, in the Zambezi Region, can expect minimum temperatures of 18°C and maximum temperatures of 38°C and 36°C respectively. ...
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