South African National Parks
Admin
· 9 Min. ·
⚠️Kruger Flood Updates ⚠️
19 February 2023
- Outlook for today, scattered showers in the afternoon and early evening
- Mid range forecast for the lowveld region to have a drying out phase over the next week
- Tropical Storm Freddy is currently in the central Indian Ocean and on course to impact central Madagascar on the 21 February, whereafter it will dissipate in intensity and present forecast it will track towards central Mozambique around the city of Beira and then head inland over northern Zimbabwe. The KNP makes use of the official forecast from Indian Ocean cyclone monitoring centre on La Reunion Island (
http://www.meteo.fr/.../La.../webcmrs9.0/anglais/index.html) and relies on the localised impact based forecast from the South African Weather Service, which at this stage implies there will be limited affect on north-eastern South Africa. We monitor the updates closely as/when conditions change.
- In terms of river flows, the past week has seen continuous but patchy rain, with the most significant rains being in the headwaters of the Sabie River and Crocodile River, as a result this has maintained high summer flows down towards the KNP and as a result we expect Lower Sabie and Crocodile Bridge access to guests to remain closed for the next 48 hours at least
- As a result of these significant rains the Inyaka Dam on the Sabie River now over 100%, the first time in 7 years and is now spilling, this is good news for it’s users for the upcoming winter season. All important dams upstream of KNP now spilling, namely, Blyde Dam on the Olifants, Tzaneen Dam on the Letaba, Nandoni Dam on the Luvuvhu
- The Olifants River remains in high flow conditions (>550 cumec), but high level bridge access to the north of KNP remains open, Balule low water bridge will remain inaccessible for the foreseeable
- Letaba River (>130 cumec) also have good summer flows but not in flood conditions at this stage
- Shingwedzi River in moderate flows at this stage
- Limpopo River is good summer flows (>600 cumec at Beitbridge) but not flood condition, and the Luvuvhu River is also having good summer flows, but not in flood – this is great replenishment conditions for the Makuleke Ramsar Wetlands of International Importance
- KNP notes the impacts these flows are now having downstream as counterparts in Mozambique have had to increase discharges significantly from Massingir Dam on the Olifants Rivers and the Corumana Dam on the Sabie River and applaud the authorities there for issuing early warnings to their stakeholders
- No significant ecological impacts have been noted at this stage, will wait for the waters to recede in order to monitor further
- Most dirt road access in southern KNP still remains closed as the smaller streams and crossings are still flowing quite strong.
Gruß Gina